Coronavirus: the rate of infection in the north of England is almost double that of London


According to new research, coronavirus infection rates in the north of England are now almost twice as high as those in London.

Using figures from the Covid Symptom Study, which uses an app downloaded by 3.7 million people to track coronavirus infections, researchers at Kings College London were able to estimate infection rates across the country. .

They found that the midpoint of infections in London is 124 per million people, while in the north west it is 215 per million and in the north east and Yorkshire it is 225 per million, exposing regional differences in the spread of the coronavirus.

Data shows that London, the South East and the South West now have the lowest infection rates in the UK.

On the other hand, Wales and Northern Ireland would have the highest figures – perhaps up to 768 per million people per day.

Research also found that the daily infection rate in the UK could reach 11,300, well above the Public Health England figure of 1,936.

The study – conducted alongside health science company ZOE – suggests, however, that the number of daily infections is down, down 17% from last week.

This comes as number 10 responded to expert warnings that relaxing the lockout will lead to an increase in Covid-19 cases, claiming that the crucial coronavirus rate will remain below one if the British continue to adhere to the strict social distancing guidelines designed to stop the epidemic.

Downing Street said the scientific consensus is that it is “ unlikely ” that loosening of guidelines in England will increase the rate of R – the number of people an infected patient transmits to the virus – beyond of one, although it is already between 0.7 and 0.9. and dangerously close to the threshold.

Conservatives and top scientists have expressed concern about the consequences of the adjustments in England – which include six people from different households who may end up in public places or gardens, primary schools beginning to return and more stores opening.

Health leaders announced today that 111 more Britons have died after being tested positive for coronavirus – the lowest daily toll since Boris Johnson imposed the lockout on March 23. weekend.

In other developments of the coronavirus crisis in Britain today:

  • Some of the 2 million pupils returning to primary school have been expelled because the school leaders “were not ready” for them;
  • The British were allowed to meet their friends for fun and socially distant games for the first time since March 23, with the loosening of lock rules;
  • Number 10 admitted that the alert level for coronaviruses has still not been lowered, despite the loosening of lockdown rules in England;
  • IKEA buyers from one store formed a giant three-hour queue as the DIY giant reopened 19 furniture sites across England;
  • NHS Covid-19 contact tracers said the system was “clearly not ready” and admitted they had nothing to do all day – although they were paid up to £ 27 time;
  • The government’s plan to allow more than 2 million vulnerable people outside has no scientific justification and amounts to a cascade of public relations, warned an expert.
Shocking new data has laid bare the regional coronavirus divide in Britain, with the north of England almost double London's infection rate

Shocking new data has laid bare the regional coronavirus divide in Britain, with the north of England almost double London’s infection rate

Data shows that London, the South East and the South West now have the lowest infection rates in the UK. A group of young people walks past an open takeout pub on Holland Park Avenue in West London

Data shows that London, the South East and the South West now have the lowest infection rates in the UK. A group of young people walks past an open takeout pub on Holland Park Avenue in West London

Wales and Northern Ireland would have the highest figures - perhaps up to 768 per million people per day. In the photo, people cool off in the water at Helen's Bay, on the shores of Belfast Lough

Wales and Northern Ireland would have the highest figures – perhaps up to 768 per million people per day. In the photo, people cool off in the water at Helen’s Bay, on the shores of Belfast Lough

Scientists who analyzed the statistics found that 12 NHS hospital trusts in England (9.2%) had no deaths from coronavirus in the past week, as well as 65 (49.6%) who have not recorded any in the past 48 hours.

Scientists who analyzed the statistics found that 12 NHS hospital trusts in England (9.2%) had no deaths from coronavirus in the past week, as well as 65 (49.6%) who have not recorded any in the past 48 hours.

Ministry of Health figures show that the official casualty count for Covid-19 has actually risen to 39,045, a jump of 556 from yesterday’s total of 38,489. The additional 445 are due to a new process declaration.

445 additional deaths added to UK total from new reporting process

An additional 445 people who died with Covid-19 were added to the British total following the introduction of a new reporting process.

The new cumulative total of 39,045 deaths, announced on June 1, now includes the cases identified in “Pillar 2” of the government’s screening strategy.

– What deaths are included in the new reporting process?

The additional deaths are linked to cases identified through testing by business partners, rather than testing in NHS and Public Health England (PHE) laboratories.

These tests would have been done in nursing homes or in the community, rather than in hospitals, and are available to the larger population, as opposed to only key workers.

– Who were the 445 additional deaths?

Public Health England (PHE) said that “almost all” of the 445 deaths, which date back to April 26, were residents of nursing homes.

The deaths were previously classified as “probable” coronavirus cases, but have now been redefined as “confirmed” cases, said PHE.

They occurred over a period of one month and do not represent yet another “increase” in the number of deaths, added PHE.

Instead, the 445 deaths were added retrospectively to the historical data.

– Why was this data not published earlier?

PHE said collecting data from a variety of sources is “ technically difficult and difficult, ” adding that it is not possible to obtain the number of daily deaths in every nursing home and residence in the country.

He said the quality of the pillar 2 test data had improved enough to allow him to track individual deaths and incorporate them into routine reports.

– How does PHE record the number of deaths?

The number of people who died from coronavirus is reported daily by the government using PHE data.

EPS combines data from four different sources: deaths in hospitals, deaths reported to EPS health protection teams, laboratory test reports related to deaths in electronic hospital records and

Death records by the Office of National Statistics (ONS) which may be linked to laboratory-confirmed positive tests.

The data, which dates back to March 2, does not include the deaths of suspected Covid-19 individuals, but no laboratory tests have been performed.

It appears that separate figures revealed today – the first day of England’s foreclosure being relaxed – that almost half of NHS hospital trusts in England have reported no new deaths in the past 48 hours. Two experts who analyzed the statistics also revealed that 12 trusts in England (9.2%) had not recorded any deaths from coronavirus in the past week.

At the Downing Street press conference tonight, Health Secretary Matt Hancock also revealed that 1,570 more Britons had tested positive for the infection – the lowest number since late March. And he presented data showing that 479 patients were admitted to hospital with England on May 30, down 20% in one week.

Beaches and parks have been inundated today, with thousands of Britons taking advantage of the scorching weather on the first day of foreclosure having eased since the draconian measures were introduced 10 weeks ago. Local public health directors said today they are concerned that ministers have lifted too many restrictions too soon.

Returning to the claims, the Prime Minister’s official spokesperson said: “ We have been working to gradually and safely loosen the lockdown measures, the consensus of the scientists is that if the tests and traces are operational and that the public follows social distancing guidelines, so it’s unlikely the measures will push the R above it.

The reproductive rate – which the government has put at the heart of its plans to break Britain out of the lockdown – indicates the number of other people to whom an infected patient will pass the disease and must stay at one or below or Britain will face another crisis.

However, the way the R is calculated means that it is obsolete, and the last calculation is based on data from about three weeks ago – before the lock was released. Last week, government advisers said the R range fell to 0.7-0.9 from 0.7-1.

Number 10 chief science adviser Sir Patrick Vallance warned that the numbers were “ not going down quickly ” in an optimistic update at Friday’s press conference at Downing Street, and said the rate could be “ very close ” to one in some areas.

The United Kingdom has 96 dead in England, nine in Scotland, five in Wales and one in Northern Ireland. Authorities announced an additional 113 deaths for Covid-19 yesterday, which also represents the lowest daily toll since the foreclosure began on March 23 (74).

Individual authorities have different thresholds for records to be submitted, which means that the cumulative totals for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland often do not correspond to the final breakdown given by the DH.

The NHS England has recorded 108 additional deaths in hospitals.

Wales recorded five new deaths in all settings, while Scotland and Northern Ireland each recorded one.

Death registration processes for people are known to slow down and even stop on weekends and holidays, which means that there is a drop every Monday – or Tuesday if it follows a holiday – followed by surges on Tuesdays and Wednesdays.

It comes as two experts analyzed the figures reported by the NHS England and found that almost half of the trusts – 65, or 49.6% – had no deaths in the past 48 hours.

Professor Carl Heneghan and Dr Jason Oke of the Center for Evidence-Based Medicine at the University of Oxford said: “ The figure announced today is 108 deaths in hospitals in England: 79 (73% ) of these deaths occurred last week. ”

And they added that 12 trusts had not recorded any Covid-19 deaths in the past week.

These are: Alder Hey Children’s NHS Foundation Trust (FT), Gateshead Health NHS FT, Norfolk and Suffolk NHS FT, North Cumbria Integrated Care NHS FT, North Middlesex University Hospital NHS Trust, Oxford University Hospitals NHS FT, Poole Hospital NHS FT, Royal Devon and Exeter NHS FT, Taunton and Somerset NHS FT, The Hillingdon Hospitals NHS FT, Weston Area Health NHS Trust and Whittington Health NHS Trust.

In comparison, this rate has barely changed since academics began analyzing the numbers on May 21. And the number of trusts that have not registered deaths for 48 hours is the second highest since the start of data collection, compared to 52.7% yesterday.

At tonight's Downing Street press conference, Health Secretary Matt Hancock (pictured alongside test coordinator Professor John Newton) also revealed that 1,570 more Britons tested positive for the infection - the lowest number since the end of March.

At tonight’s Downing Street press conference, Health Secretary Matt Hancock (pictured alongside test coordinator Professor John Newton) also revealed that 1,570 more Britons tested positive for the infection – the lowest number since the end of March.

Restrictions across the country were lifted today with the reopening of foreign markets and car showrooms. Horse racing has also resumed at Newcastle racetrack, but no spectators will be present on the site because mass gatherings are prohibited. And vulnerable people who have so far been asked to stay indoors due to the coronavirus pandemic will be allowed out.

O ARE THE 65 TRUSTS WHO HAVE NO DEATHS IN THE LAST 48 HOURS?

  • AIREDALE NHS FOUNDATION TRUST
  • LOYALTY OF THE NDER FOUNDATION OF ALDER HEY CHILDREN
  • ASHFORD AND ST PETER’S FIDATION NHS FOUNDATION HOSPITALS
  • BIRMINGHAM COMMUNITY HEALTHCARE NHS FOUNDATION TRUST
  • BOLTON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST
  • CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS FOUNDATION FIDATION
  • TRUST OF THE CHNSEA FOUNDATION AND THE WESTMINSTER HOSPITAL
  • DARTFORD AND GRAVESHAM NHS TRUST
  • DONCASTER AND BASSETLAW NHS EDUCATION HOSPITALS FIDATION FIDÉATION
  • TRUST OF THE NHS FOUNDATION OF DORSET COUNTY HOSPITAL
  • EAST CHESHIRE NHS TRUST
  • LANCASHIRE HOSPITALS IS NHS TRUST
  • EAST SUSSEX HEALTHCARE NHS TRUST
  • FRIMLEY HEALTH NHS FOUNDATION TRUST
  • GATESHEAD HEALTH NHS FOUNDATION TRUST
  • GEORGE ELIOT NHS TRUST HOSPITAL
  • NHS FOUNDATION TRUST GLOUCESTERSHIRE HOSPITALS
  • THE LOYALTY OF THE NHS GUY’S AND ST THOMAS FOUNDATION
  • NHS HARROGATE AND DISTRICT FOUNDATION TRUST
  • HOMERTON FOUNDATION NHS FOUNDATION UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL
  • IMPERIAL COLLEGE HEALTHCARE NHS TRUST
  • ISLAND OF WIGHT NHS TRUST
  • JAMES PAGET FOUNDATION NHS FOUNDATION UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS
  • NHS MEDWAY FOUNDATION TRUST
  • CONFIDENCE OF THE MILTON KEYNES NHS UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL FOUNDATION
  • NORFOLK AND NORWICH NHS FIDATION FOUNDATION UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS
  • NHS NORFOLK AND SUFFOLK FOUNDATION TRUST
  • NUSTH BRISTOL NHS TRUST
  • NHS FOUNDATION TRUST IN NORTHERN CUMBRIA INTEGRATED CARE
  • NORTH MIDDLESEX NHS TRUST UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL
  • NORTHERN DEVON HEALTHCARE NHS TRUST
  • OXFORD UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS FOUNDATION TRUST
  • TRUST OF THE NHS POOLE HOSPITAL FOUNDATION
  • PORTSMOUTH HOSPITALS NHS TRUST
  • CORNWALL NHS TRUST ROYAL HOSPITALS
  • FIDATION OF THE ROYAL DEVON AND EXETER NHS FOUNDATION
  • FIDATION OF THE ROYAL FREE LONDON NHS FOUNDATION
  • TRUST OF THE NHS FOUNDATION OF THE ROYAL SURREY COUNTY HOSPITAL
  • ROYAL UNITED HOSPITALS BATH NHS FOUNDATION TRUST
  • SALFORD ROYAL NHS FOUNDATION TRUST
  • SANDWELL AND WEST BIRMINGHAM NHS TRUST HOSPITALS
  • TRUST OF THE NHS FOUNDATION OF SOUTHERN HOSPITALS
  • SOUTH WARWICKSHIRE NHS FOUNDATION TRUST
  • SOUTHPORT HOSPITAL AND ORMSKIRK NHS TRUST
  • ST GEORGE FIDATION FOUNDATION NHS UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS
  • ST HELENS AND KNOWSLEY TEACHING NHS TRUST HOSPITALS
  • TAUNTON AND SOMERSET NHS FOUNDATION TRUST
  • THE FIDATION OF THE NHS DUDLEY GROUP FOUNDATION
  • THE LOYALTY OF THE NHS FOUNDATION OF HILLINGDON HOSPITALS
  • PRINCESS ALEXANDRA HOSPITAL NHS TRUST
  • QUEEN ELIZABETH HOSPITAL, KING’S LYNN, NHS FOUNDATION TRUST
  • FIDATION OF THE NHS FOUNDATION OF THE ROYAL BOURNEMOUTH AND CHRISTCHURCH HOSPITALS
  • THE ROYAL WOLVERHAMPTON NHS TRUST
  • TORBAY AND SOUTH DEVON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST
  • SOUTHAMPTON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL
  • COVENTRY AND WARWICKSHIRE NHS TRUST UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS
  • LEICESTER NHS TRUST UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS
  • PLYMOUTH NHS TRUST UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS
  • SUFFOLK WEST NHS FOUNDATION TRUST
  • WESTON AREA NHS HEALTH TRUST
  • WHITTINGTON HEALTH NHS TRUST
  • WORKSTERSHIRE NHS TRUST ACUTE HOSPITALS
  • WYE VALLEY NHS TRUST
  • YEOVIL DISTRICT HOSPITAL NHS FOUNDATION TRUST

It is the fact that almost two million students were expected to return to primary school today. But it was revealed this morning that some had been turned back because the school leaders were not ready for them.

It is estimated that almost 1,500 primary schools in England would defy the government’s controversial plan to have all children in grades one and six sent back to class as of June 1.

The teachers admitted that they were “impatient” to work and the unions demanded that the date be postponed to June 15 at the earliest, while the virus still feared to spread to high levels.

Parents have revealed that many schools will remain closed for at least a week or more, while some have yet to set a date.

At least two dozen boards have refused to reopen their schools or left it up to school principals, who are trying to find ways to achieve social distancing and have enough teachers to teach “ bubbles ” that can go up to ten children.

MailOnline revealed that there was confusion in several schools in London, with some parents arriving with their children only to be informed that they could not enter and had to return home.

In other developments, the ministers are desperately trying to quell a violent reaction to the relaxation of the lock today, although the level of alert for coronaviruses has not been reduced.

As beaches and parks are flooded again as people take advantage of the scorching weather, the secretary of business, Alok Sharma, was forced to deny that there was “momentum” to get the country going.

He stressed that the new contact tracking system means that measures can be tightened again in specific areas in the event of a push.

But Downing Street has been forced to admit that the alert level has still not been lowered from level four to three, even though indications suggest that loosening of the lock is not possible until it has not been reduced.

Conservatives and top scientists have expressed concern about the consequences of the adjustments in England – which include six people from different households who may end up in public places or gardens.

There are concerns that it will be impossible to put the “ genie in the bottle ” if the cases increase, a deputy told MailOnline that the government had gone from “ small steps to giant steps ” with nothing between the two.

The government has desperately urged the British to act “sensibly” when they enjoy a multitude of new freedoms, after overcrowded scenes yesterday across the country before the revision officially came into force.

This happened while Ikea stores across Britain today saw giant queues forming outside, with customers forming three-hour queues while restrictions on locking were relaxed.

Ikea’s parking lot in Wembley, north London, which until recently was a coronavirus testing center, was full of cars this morning as the store opened for the first time since the lockdown.

Aerial photos show hundreds of shoppers lining up in the sweltering heat to enter stores in Nottingham, Reading and Essex, as government urges the country to act “ reasonably ” in a context of relaxation of restrictions.

Massive lines of people could also be seen winding around the parking lots at branches of the Swedish furniture giant in Weddbury, in the West Midlands.

Some impatient shoppers had been queuing up at 5:30 a.m. – more than four hours before the store’s scheduled opening at 10:00 a.m. today.

Huge traffic jams have also been reported in and around areas as people flocked to their local branch following further relaxation of Boris Johnson’s lockout restrictions.

It comes after Italian doctors said today that the coronavirus had weakened and become the shadow of the disease, which quickly spread around the world.

Italian doctors say the infection – which has killed 370,000 people worldwide – is far less deadly than it used to be and “no longer exists clinically”.

Patients are showing much smaller amounts of virus in their systems compared to samples taken during the peak of the crisis in March and April, they said.

The infections and deaths caused by Covid-19 have been decreasing in Italy for weeks. It was, at one point, the center of Europe’s growing escalation.

Scientific theory suggests that viruses can weaken over time in order to survive – if they kill or paralyze all of their human hosts, they will miss the route.

But virologists today have questioned the claims of Italian doctors, claiming that there is no evidence that the virus is losing its power anywhere. One of them called them “bulls ***”.

Viruses known to have mutated in this way, such as HIV and the common cold, have existed for decades and thousands of years, respectively, while the coronavirus was not detected in humans until December of l ‘last year.

Another scientist said that it was possible for the coronavirus to mutate in this way, but that it was dangerous to assume that it was just from swab samples.

People fill Westbay Beach in Dorset today as they take advantage of relaxed lock rules

People fill Westbay Beach in Dorset today as they take advantage of relaxed lock rules

First grade children have their own desks at the modern Harris Academy Primary School in South London. Many school leaders with older schools say they don't have the space

First grade children have their own desks at the modern Harris Academy Primary School in South London. Many school leaders with older schools say they don’t have the space

Essex: People line up today at the Ikea store in Lakeside, Thurrock, which has reopened as part of a wider loosening of lock restrictions in England

Essex: People line up today at the Ikea store in Lakeside, Thurrock, which has reopened as part of a wider loosening of lock restrictions in England

Bring your own CHAIRS for barbecues, NO wading and sex with someone from another house IS FORBIDDEN: Government issues detailed instructions on new lock rules to try to clear up mass confusion

Who can be in my group of six?

What is still prohibited?

  • To visit friends and family inside their homes
  • Stay overnight away from your own home, except in a limited set of circumstances, for example for business purposes
  • Exercise in an indoor sports ground, gym or recreation center, or swim in a public pool
  • Use of a gym or outdoor playground
  • Outdoor gathering in a group of more than six people (excluding members of your own household)

Anyone you love, although the usual isolation rules for symptoms apply. Social distance from people outside your own home remains the key.

So you can share a picnic mat in the park with anyone you live with, but anyone else should always be six feet six inches away.

And the other key point is that this gathering must be outdoors. You can have the gathering in someone’s garden, courtyard or roof terrace, on the street, in the park, in an empty parking lot. But you can’t have it inside a house or apartment or any other building.

The other point to note is that the rules out of six only apply to more than one family group. They also underline: “There is no limit to the size of a gathering in an outdoor space if you are all members of the same household.

Can we get inside everything?

You can go through a house or an apartment to access the garden or the terrace, if there is no other way to access it.

And in the good news for people with young children or those who want to enjoy a few beers with friends, you are allowed to use the restroom.

Guidance notes: “Avoid touching surfaces and if using the toilet, wash your hands thoroughly, wipe surfaces clean, use separate towels or paper towels and wash or dispose of them safely after use .

“If you don’t want to stay outside anymore, you should go home.

“Do not go into garages, hangars or cabins – these are all indoor spaces and where the risk of transmission is higher.

Can we have a barbecue and how will it work?

people should not give food or drink to those who are not part of their family group and you should bring your own plates and utensils

people should not give food or drink to those who are not part of their family group and you should bring your own plates and utensils

Barbecues and other outdoor meals such as picnics are permitted, but with strict measures in place to avoid contamination.

You should bring your own lawn chairs if possible and if you cannot thoroughly clean the ones you are sitting on.

The advice is to “stay alert”. People should not pass food or drinks to those who are not part of their family group and you should bring your own plates and utensils. And you have to wash your hands frequently.

And in bad news for the hosts, he adds: “If you are in someone else’s garden, you should not come in to help the host transport food or do the dishes.”

What else can we do? Can we take out the wading pool for children?

Paddling pools must not be shared by people who do not belong to the same family group. And the bad news is spreading to the mega rich who have swimming pools, the rules are the same for them.

I don’t have a garden, can we all meet elsewhere?

The rules allow separate family groups to travel to another location, as long as there is no overnight stay - camping and weekends are therefore always prohibited.

The rules allow separate family groups to travel to another location, as long as there is no overnight stay – camping and weekends are therefore always prohibited.

Yes, the rules allow separate family groups to travel to another location, as long as there is no overnight stay – camping and weekends are therefore still prohibited.

The guidance states: “ You can travel to an open outdoor space regardless of the distance, as long as you can return the same night and not put other people at risk because of the services you may need during your absence. ”

This includes “national parks or beaches” although he warns that some remain unclear – like Durdle Door in Dorset which was inundated with people this weekend.

He also recommends that you avoid public transportation when possible, suggesting biking or walking when possible.

So no overnight trips allowed?

Not for leisure, no. Holidays and visits to a second home are not allowed. The only exception is for business travel.

The guideline states: “ Premises such as hotels and guesthouses will remain closed, except in cases where accommodation is provided for specific reasons set out in law, such as for critical workers when necessary for a reason related to their work.

“Hotels are also available to accommodate people who isolate themselves after arriving in the UK (where no other accommodation is available).”

But I don’t live with my partner and I haven’t seen them for months …

Bad luck. The rules clearly state that conjugal visits are not allowed. In one of the most controversial measures, the government of Boris Johnson introduced a sexual ban.

The guide states: “ Close contact with people from other households means a much higher risk of transmission, and according to scientific advice, we cannot allow people to safely see people with whom they do not live. not inside without risk of spreading the virus.

“We recognize how difficult this is for people – especially those who live alone and we are keeping this under constant review.”

The rules created a lot of fun – or horror – on social media, with blogger and legal writer The Secret Barrister pointing out (above) that the advice only applied to sex inside.

But there is some confusion as to how the rule can be applied.

Downing Street usefully confirmed today that police will not be allowed into the homes of people it suspects of breaking the rule, the Prime Minister’s spokesman said: “ The police will do as they do ‘has done since the beginning of the implementation of the health regulations, by showing common sense and interacting with the public and by issuing fixed penalty notices only when it considers it a last resort.

“The police do not have the power to enter people’s homes under the regulations … they cannot enter your home unless they expect serious criminal activity there take place ”.

Can I get rid of this with sport?

Solo sports such as tennis and golf are allowed in groups of six maximum, with a social distance maintained and without sharing equipment

Solo sports such as tennis and golf are allowed in groups of six maximum, with a social distance maintained and without sharing equipment

The rules could also apply to other places like kayaking or paddleboarding where people keep their distance

The rules could also apply to other places like kayaking or paddleboarding where people keep their distance

Yes, sports are allowed according to the same gathering rules.

Solo sports such as tennis and golf are allowed in groups of six maximum, with a social distance maintained and without sharing equipment.

This includes double tennis “as long as you stay two meters as far as possible”.

And training for team sports such as football, rugby and hockey is also allowed.

Guidance notes: “ People who practice team sports can meet to train together and do things like fitness or workouts, but they must be in separate groups of six to maximum and must be separated by two meters at all times.

“While groups can practice ball skills like passing and kicking, equipment sharing must be kept to a minimum and good hand hygiene practices must be in place before and after.”

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